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CausalMob: Causal Human Mobility Prediction with LLMs-derived Human Intentions toward Public Events

Yang, Xiaojie, Ge, Hangli, Wang, Jiawei, Fan, Zipei, Jiang, Renhe, Shibasaki, Ryosuke, Koshizuka, Noboru

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large-scale human mobility exhibits spatial and temporal patterns that can assist policymakers in decision making. Although traditional prediction models attempt to capture these patterns, they often interfered by non-periodic public events, such as disasters and occasional celebrations. Since regular human mobility patterns are heavily affected by these events, estimating their causal effects is critical to accurate mobility predictions. Although news articles provide unique perspectives on these events in an unstructured format, processing is a challenge. In this study, we propose a causality-augmented prediction model, called CausalMob, to analyze the causal effects of public events. We first utilize large language models (LLMs) to extract human intentions from news articles and transform them into features that act as causal treatments. Next, the model learns representations of spatio-temporal regional covariates from multiple data sources to serve as confounders for causal inference. Finally, we present a causal effect estimation framework to ensure event features remain independent of confounders during prediction. Based on large-scale real-world data, the experimental results show that the proposed model excels in human mobility prediction, outperforming state-of-the-art models.


Express Yourself: Enabling large-scale public events involving multi-human-swarm interaction for social applications with MOSAIX

Alhafnawi, Merihan, Gomez-Gutierrez, Maca, Hunt, Edmund R., Lemaignan, Severin, O'Dowd, Paul, Hauert, Sabine

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Robot swarms have the potential to help groups of people with social tasks, given their ability to scale to large numbers of robots and users. Developing multi-human-swarm interaction is therefore crucial to support multiple people interacting with the swarm simultaneously - which is an area that is scarcely researched, unlike single-human, single-robot or single-human, multi-robot interaction. Moreover, most robots are still confined to laboratory settings. In this paper, we present our work with MOSAIX, a swarm of robot Tiles, that facilitated ideation at a science museum. 63 robots were used as a swarm of smart sticky notes, collecting input from the public and aggregating it based on themes, providing an evolving visualization tool that engaged visitors and fostered their participation. Our contribution lies in creating a large-scale (63 robots and 294 attendees) public event, with a completely decentralized swarm system in real-life settings. We also discuss learnings we obtained that might help future researchers create multi-human-swarm interaction with the public.


Exploring Large Language Models for Human Mobility Prediction under Public Events

Liang, Yuebing, Liu, Yichao, Wang, Xiaohan, Zhao, Zhan

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Public events, such as concerts and sports games, can be major attractors for large crowds, leading to irregular surges in travel demand. Accurate human mobility prediction for public events is thus crucial for event planning as well as traffic or crowd management. While rich textual descriptions about public events are commonly available from online sources, it is challenging to encode such information in statistical or machine learning models. Existing methods are generally limited in incorporating textual information, handling data sparsity, or providing rationales for their predictions. To address these challenges, we introduce a framework for human mobility prediction under public events (LLM-MPE) based on Large Language Models (LLMs), leveraging their unprecedented ability to process textual data, learn from minimal examples, and generate human-readable explanations. Specifically, LLM-MPE first transforms raw, unstructured event descriptions from online sources into a standardized format, and then segments historical mobility data into regular and event-related components. A prompting strategy is designed to direct LLMs in making and rationalizing demand predictions considering historical mobility and event features. A case study is conducted for Barclays Center in New York City, based on publicly available event information and taxi trip data. Results show that LLM-MPE surpasses traditional models, particularly on event days, with textual data significantly enhancing its accuracy. Furthermore, LLM-MPE offers interpretable insights into its predictions. Despite the great potential of LLMs, we also identify key challenges including misinformation and high costs that remain barriers to their broader adoption in large-scale human mobility analysis.


Post-Doctoral Position Artificial Intelligence Applied to Crowd Monitoring - Academic Positions

#artificialintelligence

We are seeking an outstanding and highly motivated post-doctoral researcher to join a research program aiming at developing an intelligent crowd monitoring system for large public events. To reach these two objectives, dedicated crowd density sensors will be designed. In parallel, innovative crowd density forecasting algorithms will be developed, by using advanced Artificial Intelligence strategies. The researcher will work in close collaboration with another post-doc specialized in electrical engineering, and with the support of one main mobile operator in Belgium. The system will be tested in real-life during large public events organized in Brussels.


Crowd workers help robot keep conversation fresh

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People can find a hundred ways to say the same thing, which poses a challenge to robots that are expected to keep up their end of conversations. A Disney Research team's solution is to devise an automated method of crowdsourcing multiple lines of dialogue. After all, "hello" is a perfectly fine greeting, but not every time you see someone. The team developed a persistent interactive personality, or PIP, that can translate high-level goals and variables into simple narratives, effectively summarizing situations it will find itself in. PIP then autonomously presents the descriptions to crowd workers to elicit appropriate speech for the context.